BILL ANALYSIS                                                                                                                                                                                                    



                                                                  AB 2948
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          ASSEMBLY THIRD READING
          AB 2948 (Umberg)
          As Amended April 4, 2006
          Majority vote 

           ELECTIONS           5-2         APPROPRIATIONS      13-5        
           
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          |Ayes:|Umberg, Karnette, Klehs,  |Ayes:|Chu, Bass, Berg,          |
          |     |Leno, Levine              |     |Calderon,                 |
          |     |                          |     |De La Torre, Karnette,    |
          |     |                          |     |Klehs, Leno, Nation,      |
          |     |                          |     |Oropeza, Ridley-Thomas,   |
          |     |                          |     |Saldana, Yee              |
          |     |                          |     |                          |
          |-----+--------------------------+-----+--------------------------|
          |Nays:|Wyland, Villines          |Nays:|Sharon Runner, Emmerson,  |
          |     |                          |     |Haynes, Nakanishi,        |
          |     |                          |     |Walters                   |
           ----------------------------------------------------------------- 

           SUMMARY  :  Ratifies an interstate compact whereby the state  
          agrees to award its electoral votes to the Presidential ticket  
          that received the most popular votes nationwide if the states  
          who are parties to the compact cumulatively possess a majority  
          of the electoral votes.  Specifically,  this bill  ratifies the  
          Agreement Among the States to Elect the President by National  
          Popular Vote (Agreement), an interstate compact that contains  
          the following provisions:

          1)Requires each member of the compact to conduct a statewide  
            popular election for President and Vice President.

          2)Requires the chief election official of each member state to  
            determine the number of votes cast for each presidential slate  
            in each state of the United States and in the District of  
            Columbia in which votes have been cast in a statewide popular  
            election and to add such votes together to produce a "national  
            popular vote total" for each presidential slate.

          3)Requires the presidential elector certifying official of each  
            member state to certify the appointment in that official's  
            state of the elector slate nominated in that state in  
            association with the presidential slate that had the largest  








                                                                  AB 2948
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            national popular vote total.

          4)Requires, at least six days before the day fixed by law for  
            the meeting and voting by presidential electors, each member  
            state to make a final determination of the number of popular  
            votes cast in the state for each presidential slate and to  
            communicate an official statement of such results to the chief  
            election officer of every other state, and requires the chief  
            election official of each member state to treat any such  
            statement received from another state as conclusive.

          5)Provides that, in the event of a tie for the national popular  
            vote winner, the presidential elector certifying official of  
            each member state shall certify the appointment in that  
            official's own state of the elector slate nominated in  
            association with the presidential slate receiving the largest  
            number of popular votes within that official's state.

          6)Provides that if the number of presidential electors nominated  
            in a member state in association with the national popular  
            vote winner is less than or greater than that state's number  
            of electoral votes, the presidential candidate on the  
            presidential slate that had the largest national popular vote  
            total shall have the power to nominate the presidential  
            electors for that state and that state's presidential elector  
            certifying official shall certify the appointment of such  
            nominees.

          7)Provides that this compact will govern the appointment of  
            presidential electors in each member state in any year in  
            which the agreement is, on July 20, in effect in states  
            cumulatively possessing a majority of electoral votes.

          8)Provides that the compact shall take effect when states  
            cumulatively possessing a majority of the electoral votes have  
            enacted the compact in substantially the same form and the  
            enactments in such states have taken effect in each state.

          9)Permits any member state to withdraw from the agreement,  
            except that a withdrawal occurring six months or less before  
            the end of a President's term shall not become effective until  
            a President and Vice President have been qualified to serve  
            the next term;









                                                                  AB 2948
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          10)Provides that the compact shall terminate if the Electoral  
            College is abolished.

          11)Provides that if any provision of the compact is held  
            invalid, the remaining provisions shall not be affected.

           EXISTING LAW  provides that the Presidential ticket that receives  
          the greatest number of votes in the state will receive all of  
          California's electoral votes.

           FISCAL EFFECT  :  According to an Assembly Appropriations  
          Committee analysis, minor fiscal impact every four years to the  
          Secretary of State to implement compact procedures.

           COMMENTS  :  According to the author, "With the current  
          winner-take-all allocation of each state's electoral votes,  
          candidates are forced to focus exclusively on a small number of  
          'battleground' states.  Because California hasn't been one of  
          the battleground states, we have largely been ignored by recent  
          Presidential campaigns.  Under the current system of electing  
          the President, as long as California remains a solidly  
          Democratic state, there is no reason for Presidential candidates  
          of any party to pay attention to California voters.  California  
          will continue to be seen by Presidential candidates as nothing  
          more than an ATM for their campaign coffers.  AB 2948 enacts an  
          interstate compact in which the member states agree to award  
          their electoral votes to the Presidential ticket that receives  
          the most popular votes nationwide.  The compact would take  
          effect only when the plan was enacted by states collectively  
          possessing a majority of the electoral votes - thereby  
          guaranteeing that the candidate receiving the most popular votes  
          nationwide wins enough electoral votes to become President."

          Please see the policy committee analysis for a full discussion  
          of this bill.
           

          Analysis Prepared by  :    Ethan Jones / E. & R. / (916) 319-2094 


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